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Poll: Paradox. What would you do? Are you a one-boxer or two-boxer?

When faced with scenario detailed in the video, what do you do?

  • Take the mystery box only (one-boxer)

  • Take both boxes (two-boxer)

Results are only viewable after voting.
NIGHTBRINGER
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NIGHTBRINGER

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The Paradox That Splits Smart People 50/50​


1. Watch the video in its entirety
2. Vote in the poll
3. Discuss below


Looks like the new fancy forum update doesn't like (this particular) YouTube video. ***CLICK HERE FOR THE VIDEO***


 
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I would take the mystery box.
It all depends on the amount of money which is granted.

I don't like gambling and i almost always go for the certain result, BUT i accept to gamble if the loss (or, more importantly, the missed gain) is acceptable.

in this specific case, the certain sum is "only" 1.000 $: it's nice to have, but it doesn't solve anything and it's not even that helpful. I'd rather take the risk to see what's in the mystery box.

if the money in the open box would be 10.000, then i would take both boxes.

If the computer knows it all, it knows what i'm willing to bet.
 
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Killer Angel said:
I would take the mystery box.
It all depends on the certain sum.

I don't like gambling and i almost always go for the certain result, BUT i accept to gamble if the loss (or, more importantly, the missed gain) is acceptable.

in this specific case, the certain sum is "only" 1.000 $: it's nice to have, but it doesn't solve anything and it's not even that helpful. I'd rather take the risk to see what's in the mystery box.

if the money in the open box would be 10.000, then i would take both boxes.

If the computer knows it all, it knows what i'm willing to bet.
Click to expand...
It's interesting to see that their claim in the video that people are divided holds true in the real world (okay, the forum world). I chose the two-box approach.

My rationale is simple. The computer predicts very accurately, but it is not all-knowing. If it were all-knowing that would cross into the realm of precognition and fully invalidate the concept of free will. Regardless, once I enter the room, the money in the boxes is already set (no matter what the computer predicted). At that moment in time, the mystery box either contains $1 million or nothing, but it can't change, no matter what I choose at that moment of time. With the two box approach I walk away with either $1000 or $1,001,000, while the single box approach nets me either $0 or $1,000,000. Since the supercomputer prediction was made prior to me even knowing about the scenario, my actions in the moment have no bearing on the mystery box content, so I'll go with the better odds.

It will be fun to see how the divide unfolds (assuming of course that people invest the time to watch the video and vote). I saw it as a thought-provoking scenario that we can have some fun with.
 
NIGHTBRINGER said:
It's interesting to see that their claim in the video that people are divided holds true in the real world (okay, the forum world). I chose the two-box approach.

My rationale is simple. The computer predicts very accurately, but it is not all-knowing. If it were all-knowing that would cross into the realm of precognition and fully invalidate the concept of free will. Regardless, once I enter the room, the money in the boxes is already set (no matter what the computer predicted). At that moment in time, the mystery box either contains $1 million or nothing, but it can't change, no matter what I choose at that moment of time. With the two box approach I walk away with either $1000 or $1,001,000, while the single box approach nets me either $0 or $1,000,000. Since the supercomputer prediction was made prior to me even knowing about the scenario, my actions in the moment have no bearing on the mystery box content, so I'll go with the better odds.

It will be fun to see how the divide unfolds (assuming of course that people invest the time to watch the video and vote). I saw it as a thought-provoking scenario that we can have some fun with.
Click to expand...


it's certainly a fun train of thoughts.
IMO, the mere fact that your approach is based on probabilities and the better odd in this scenario, could only mean that in the closed box there will be 0 money.
You pick both boxes but with no significant return, because that mindset doomed you even before the beginning.
This, of course, works only if the computer is able to predict correctly your behavior.
 
The paradox is even more complex because you can use your free will, or you could even try to "cheat" the computer by using a coin toss to make your decision... but that shouldn't subtract anything from the fact that the supercomputer predicted what would be your "default" choice.
 
Killer Angel said:
The paradox is even more complex because you can use your free will, or you could even try to "cheat" the computer by using a coin toss to make your decision... but that shouldn't subtract anything from the fact that the supercomputer predicted what would be your "default" choice.
Click to expand...
That's an interesting thought.

I saw a YouTube comment state that they would choose no box, just to fuck with the super computer. ;)
 
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